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VI

Varex Imaging Corp (VREX)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 FY25 revenue was $203.0M, above the high-end of guidance, with non-GAAP EPS of $0.18 and GAAP diluted EPS of $(2.15) driven by a $93.9M non-cash goodwill impairment .
  • Medical revenue was $142.1M (-4% YoY) and Industrial revenue was $60.9M (+1% YoY); non-GAAP gross margin rose to 34% from 32% YoY, supported by favorable mix and lower-than-expected tariff costs .
  • Q4 FY25 guidance: revenue $210–$230M and non-GAAP EPS $0.10–$0.30; management expects FY25 sales growth of ~3% and cited continued cargo systems adoption and normalized China demand as catalysts .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus, Q3 revenue and EPS materially beat: $203.0M vs $190.3M*, $0.18 vs $0.035*; EBITDA was modestly above $20.0M vs $19.7M* (estimate) (see tables; values retrieved from S&P Global).
  • Narrative drivers: tariff volatility eased in China (to ~55% mid-quarter) enabling resumed shipments, strong Industrial/cargo demand and product mix lifted gross margin, while the goodwill impairment dominated GAAP results .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Revenue of $203.0M was above the high-end of guidance; non-GAAP gross margin of 34% and EPS of $0.18 exceeded internal expectations as mix improved and tariff headwinds were lower than anticipated .
  • Industrial strength: year-to-date cargo systems orders exceeded $55M with additional $17M orders announced in July; management highlighted vertical integration and ramping UK systems capacity .
  • China stabilized: customers resumed deliveries after tariffs fell to ~55%, with sales to China ~15% of total and up ~4% YoY in Q3; management noted paused investigations by China’s MOFCOM and steady demand backdrop .

Management quotes:

  • “Third quarter revenue of $203 million was above the high-end of our guidance… Industrial segment remained strong… Medical revenue in China was better than our expectations.” — CEO Sunny Sanyal .
  • “Gross margin benefited from lower than previously anticipated impact from tariff related expenses… non-GAAP EPS of $0.18.” — CFO Shubham Maheshwari .
  • “We have a well established services team… we are prepared to expand these capabilities as the business grows.” — CEO Sunny Sanyal (cargo systems ramp) .

What Went Wrong

  • A $93.9M goodwill impairment tied to market cap decline drove GAAP operating loss of $(80.7)M and GAAP diluted EPS of $(2.15) .
  • Tariffs pressured margins: Q4 gross margin guide (32–33%) reflects 100–150 bps degradation from tariffs and lower-margin cargo equipment mix .
  • Industrial gross margin headwind: equipment-heavy shipments reduce segment margin near-term; service revenue accretion expected ~18–24 months post-installation .

Financial Results

Consolidated Results vs Prior Quarters

MetricQ1 FY25Q2 FY25Q3 FY25
Revenue ($USD Millions)$199.8 $212.9 $203.0
GAAP Gross Margin %34.3% 36.0% 33.3%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin %34.5% 36.3% 33.5%
GAAP Operating Margin %5.6% 10.4% (39.8)%
Non-GAAP Operating Margin %7.2% 12.2% 8.2%
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$(0.01) $0.17 $(2.15)
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.07 $0.26 $0.18
Cash from Operations ($USD Millions)$10 $17 $8

Q3 FY25 Actuals vs S&P Global Consensus

MetricConsensus*ActualSurprise
Revenue ($USD Millions)190.3*203.0 +12.7*
Primary EPS ($)0.035*0.18 +0.145*
EBITDA ($USD Millions)19.7*20.0 +0.3*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment Breakdown

Segment Revenue ($USD Millions)Q3 FY24Q2 FY25Q3 FY25YoY ChangeQoQ Change
Medical$148.6 $153.8 $142.1 (4)% (7.6)*
Industrial$60.5 $59.1 $60.9 +1% +3.0*
Total$209.1 $212.9 $203.0 (3)% (4.6)*

Note: YoY changes per company disclosure; QoQ changes computed from disclosed figures.

KPIs and Balance Sheet Trends

KPIQ1 FY25Q2 FY25Q3 FY25
China Revenue (% of Total)18% 15% 15%
Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)68 62 61
Days of Inventory (DOI)209 190 201
Cash, Cash Equivalents & Marketable Securities ($USD Millions)$219 $226 $153
Gross Debt ($USD Millions)$571 $570 $370
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$23.8 $34.3 $28.9

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($USD Millions)Q4 FY25N/A$210–$230 New
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)Q4 FY25N/A$0.10–$0.30 New
Non-GAAP Gross Margin %Q4 FY25N/A32–33% New
Non-GAAP Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)Q4 FY25N/A~50 New
Interest & Other Expense, Net ($USD Millions)Q4 FY25N/A$9–$10 New
Tax Rate (%)Q4 FY25N/A~25% New
Non-GAAP Diluted Shares (Millions)Q4 FY25N/A~42 New
FY25 Sales Growth (%)FY25N/A~3% New

Reference: Q3 guidance issued in Q2 (for context) was revenue $180–$200M and non-GAAP EPS −$0.05 to $0.10 .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
China tariffs & demandQ1: China 18% of sales; destocking largely behind; tariff impact uncertain . Q2: 125% retaliatory tariff expected to reduce Q3 China sales by ~$20M; gross margin impact 150–200 bps; mitigation underway (bonded warehouse, localization) .Tariffs dropped to ~55% mid-quarter, deliveries resumed; investigations paused; China ~15% of sales; stable demand .Improving stability; lower immediate tariff burden; continued mitigation.
Industrial/cargo systemsQ1: Announced ~$14M orders; outlined systems portfolio and long-run service model . Q2: $25M portal orders; backlog fulfillment cadence 12–18 months .Additional $17M in orders; YTD cargo systems orders >$55M; ramping UK systems production; service accretion expected ~18–24 months post-install .Pipeline robust; building capacity; near-term margin drag, longer-term accretive via service.
Gross margin/mixQ1: 35% non-GAAP GM (benefit ~130 bps German duty refund) . Q2: 36% non-GAAP; one-time German refund ~200 bps; guidance highlighted 150–200 bps tariff impact .Q3: 34% non-GAAP GM above high end; Q4 guide 32–33% reflecting tariffs and cargo mix .Normalizing off Q2 one-time; modest pressure near-term from tariffs/mix.
Photon countingQ1: Active OEM engagements; industrial adoption earlier; 2029 revenue target discussed . Q2: Two OEMs active; industrial progress; commercialization timeline reaffirmed .Progress with medical OEM integrations; THOR industrial detector GA; 2029 timeline intact; expected ~$150M by 2029 (2/3 medical) .Steady progress; medical commercialization multi-year; industrial revenue building.
India manufacturingQ1: Plan to begin radiographic component production in FY25; global supply chain resiliency . Q2: Accelerating India suppliers to mitigate tariffs .Expect radiographic detectors production around FY year-end; tariff mitigation via localization and bonded warehouse initiatives .On track; supports cost competitiveness and tariff mitigation.
Capital structureQ1/Q2: Intent to repay $200M convert in June; restricted cash earmarked .Convertible notes paid off; gross debt ~$370M; targeting $300–$350M over time .Deleveraging; reduced interest burden.

Management Commentary

  • Strategic demand outlook: “We expect a healthy demand environment for both Medical and Industrial segments to drive sales growth of approximately 3% for fiscal year 2025.” — CEO Sunny Sanyal .
  • China dynamics: “Once the tariffs dropped to around 55%, customers resumed their delivery requests… we were able to accommodate their shipment needs.” — CEO Sunny Sanyal .
  • Margin drivers: “Gross margin benefited from lower than previously anticipated impact from tariff related expenses and favorable product sales mix.” — CFO Shubham Maheshwari .
  • Cargo systems strategy: “We are a vertically integrated systems provider… ramping systems production in the UK and investing in demonstration capabilities in the UK and US.” — CEO Sunny Sanyal .
  • Capital structure: “We paid off our $200,000,000 convertible notes, which reduces our overall debt burden and simplifies our capital structure.” — CEO Sunny Sanyal .

Q&A Highlights

  • China outlook: Management expects China demand to remain “normal” absent external shocks; Q3 China sales were ~15% of total and up ~4% YoY .
  • Gross margin guide: Q4 gross margin (32–33%) reflects 100–150 bps tariff impact and lower-margin cargo equipment mix; Q2’s ~200 bps benefit from German duty refunds was one-time .
  • Photon counting commercialization: Two medical OEMs now in design integration; industrial shipments ongoing; 2029 timeline unchanged with ~$150M revenue target (~2/3 medical) .
  • Debt and interest: Gross debt ~$370M post convert repayment; guided interest & other expense net at $9–$10M for Q4; targeting debt in $300–$350M range longer term .
  • CapEx/service accretion: Annual CapEx ~$25–$30M including UK investments; cargo services expected to be margin accretive as installed base exits warranty (~18–24 months) .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 FY25 beat on both revenue and EPS: $203.0M vs $190.3M* revenue, $0.18 vs $0.035* EPS, and EBITDA $20.0M vs $19.7M*; magnitude of beats suggests upward revisions to near-term EPS and revenue trajectories, though Q4 GM guide implies estimate moderation on margin assumptions (see tables; values retrieved from S&P Global).
  • With Q4 revenue guide $210–$230M and EPS $0.10–$0.30, consensus may need to reflect lower gross margin (32–33%) and tariff-driven OI&E headwinds offset by stronger Industrial shipments .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Strong operational beat: Revenue and non-GAAP EPS exceeded consensus and internal guidance, driven by Industrial strength and improved mix; monitor Q4 for continued execution even with lower GM guide .
  • GAAP volatility is non-cash: The $93.9M goodwill impairment drove GAAP losses; focus on non-GAAP margins, cash generation, and deleveraging trajectory post convert repayment .
  • Cargo systems as medium-term growth/margin lever: Orders >$55M YTD with ramping deployments; expect margin accretion as service contracts kick in ~18–24 months after installs .
  • China risk stabilizing: Tariff normalization mid-quarter enabled resumed shipments; watch for policy changes, exemptions, and continued mitigation (localization/warehousing) .
  • Photon counting optionality: Industrial commercialization underway (THOR), with medical OEM integrations progressing; multi-year path to 2029 revenue targets .
  • Q4 setup: Revenue guide implies sequential growth; margin pressure from tariffs and mix is the key swing factor; any further tariff relief or stronger mix could drive upside .
  • Balance sheet improving: Lower gross debt and solid adjusted EBITDA (~$28.9M in Q3) support refinancing positioning and potential interest expense decline over time .